Overview Market Analysis for whole world
August 25, 2009 by K H Ooi
Filed under Sector Investing News, Special Sector Report, Technical Analysis, Weekly Market Analysis
With the Global Market rally from march 09 to now 25/08/09 .The Global market is seen to be reslient and will likely to still be on the uptrend ,due to strong sentiment of the bullish.
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Health-reform efforts move forward as public engages
June 26, 2009 by C-Smart Trader
Filed under Important News, Sector Investing News
Health-reform efforts move forward as public engages
The quest to bring down the cost of a major health-care overhaul dominated this week’s reform efforts in Washington after an early cost estimate of $1.6 trillion last week sent lawmakers on a new urgent mission to scale down the price tag. President Obama also tried to soothe some Americans’ growing nervousness over proposed changes to health care as legislation shapes up that will put his campaign promises to the test.
Will Americans who like their health plans be able to keep them as Obama said? Will families be able to see their annual premiums decline by $2,500 in a few years as promised?
On Monday, President Obama announced that drug companies had agreed to discount the cost of brand-name drugs to the tune of $80 billion for Medicare beneficiaries so fewer of them would fall into the coverage gap known as the doughnut hole. Senior-advocacy group AARP hailed the move, which was contingent on comprehensive health reform. The announcement suggested the Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers Association was trying to preempt potentially onerous regulation that may have come about if the group hadn’t voluntarily offered to reduce costs.
Obama also signed a landmark tobacco bill that gives the federal government sweeping new authority to regulate the manufacturing, marketing and advertising of cigarettes and tobacco products. Smoking causes 400,000 Americans to die every year.
In a Tuesday press conference, Obama defended his health plan and pushed back after two insurance industry groups sent a letter to the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions committee urging it to drop the public plan option many Democrats want, which would compete with private insurers in an effort to make them more efficient.
“A government plan option – in any form – is unnecessary to achieve comprehensive reform and would have devastating consequences on the health insurance coverage that employers and individuals currently have, the federal budget deficit and existing provider systems,” said the letter from America’s Health Insurance Plans and the Blue Cross Blue Shield Association.
“If private insurers say that the marketplace provides the best quality health care; if they tell us that they’re offering a good deal, then why is it that the government, which they say can’t run anything, suddenly is going to drive them out of business? That’s not logical,” Obama said during the press conference.
On Wednesday, private insurers came under fire after a report from the Senate Commerce Committee found that companies underpaid doctors and hospitals in millions of insurance claims that were for out-of-network care. Insurers also left consumers in the dark on how they calculate “reasonable and customary” charges for such care, the report said. Lack of information has been a major obstacle to encouraging consumers to “shop around” for better prices for health services, a key feature in many conservative lawmakers’ health-care preferences.
In a separate development Wednesday that underscored the financial challenges of the Medicare program, the Departments of Justice and Health and Human Services announced they had indicted 53 doctors, health-care executives and beneficiaries for allegedly submitting more than $50 million in false Medicare claims in Detroit.
On Wednesday night, ABC News broadcast a town hall meeting where President Obama took questions related to his health-reform goals. Topics ranged from concern over whether the government would intervene in costly, sensitive end-of-life treatments to whether a public plan option and health insurance exchange would lead more employers to drop coverage. The public plan option proved surprisingly popular in a poll released last weekend, with 72% of 900 adults saying they supported a government-administered insurance plan that would compete with private insurers for customers, according to a CBS News/New York Times survey. Twenty percent opposed the idea.
Obama also signaled he may be open to taxing the value of employer-sponsored health benefits above a certain threshold, something he opposed during the campaign. The tax exclusion that now exists to make job-based benefits tax-free to workers is a potentially lucrative source of funding that could be used to expand coverage to the 46 million uninsured.
On Thursday, Senate Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus expressed optimism about the progress of health-reform efforts, saying U.S. senators had found a way to cut the cost of a comprehensive bill to below $1 trillion over 10 years. Read the story. Shares of health-care companies closed higher Thursday on the news.
On Saturday, the Internet-organizing savvy Obama used to such advantage in his campaign is set to go to work on his health-care agenda as volunteers across the country take part in the first National Health Care Day of Service, designed to expose them to a cross section of the medical delivery system.
Extract from marketwatch.com
Defense Sector News
June 9, 2009 by C-Smart Trader
Filed under Important News, Sector Investing News
Defense News- Homeland Defense Stocks Spade Defense Index Commentary for June 2009; Ten Keys for Investing in Defense over the Next Six Months
POINT ROBERTS, Wash., DELTA, B.C. -June 8, 2009 - www.HomelandDefenseStocks.com (HDS), a leading global investor and industry portal for the defense and security sector, within Investorideas.com, provides interested defense stocks investors with sector commentary from Scott Sacknoff, manager of the SPADE® Defense Index.
Ten Keys for Investing in Defense Over the Next Six Months
By Scott Sacknoff, SPADE Indexes
The following is our commentary from the June 2009 “The SPADE Investor” newsletter.
Specifics of the FY2010 Defense Department budget were finally made available in early May and there were few surprises from the information that was leaked over the previous weeks. A number of large programs were cancelled or scaled back including major initiatives such as the Future Combat System, Transformational Satellite TSAT, and the presidential helicopter, but each were “replaced” with other programs that are designed to meet the ongoing needs of the agency. In fact, despite the cancellation of the multi-billion TSAT program, spending on new communications satellites in FY10 rose.
Analysts have now shifted their attention toward gathering information on the 2010 Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) which will be the guide for the FY-2011 to FY-2015 budgets — although final details are not due until next February. While a number of analysts think defense spending has peaked with the FY-10 budget, dramatic cuts in future budgets is meeting with resistance from a number of current and former members of the executive branch and Congress as well as military officials.
So with investors starting to look again toward the sector, it appears as if the recent decline in share prices over the past nine months went too far. Which brings us to the top 10 keys for the next six months.
Ten Keys for the Next Six Months (and Beyond)
1. The FY10 Budget is Released. The budget has always been the most important factor in determining the health of the sector and the companies that will benefit. With the base budget for FY 2010 showing a 5.6% growth ($5.7 billion) in procurement and another supplemental spending package to fund war efforts through the rest of 2009 coming, the issue has been put to rest for the time being.
2. Global Tension: North Korea and Iran. The launch of rockets by Iran and North Korea as well as their nuclear interests have raised the potential that something might happen. Fears that Israel may act in Iran before the U.S. are rising.
3. Rebound in Commercial Aerospace. The global recession and the collapse of the financial system had little impact on defense spending but commercial activities suffered. With roughly 20% of the defense sector maintaining commercial aerospace operations, an improving economy is showing benefits. The first test flights and delivery of the Boeing 787 will an additional provide a boost to the sector.
4. Positive Press Over the Next Month from the Paris Air Show. The improving commercial sector be showcased at the mid-June Paris Air Show, the largest and most important show of its kind. Over the next several weeks hundreds of press releases and articles will be issued highlighting new contracts and new products. More than $50 billion worth of contract announcements are anticipated. In addition, rumor is that the Boeing 787 may make its maiden flight.
5. Declining Dollar is Positive for Exports. The United States has become a net importer of products; but one sector in which the U.S. has a positive trade balance is aerospace. With companies around the world still operating in a recessionary mindset, a weakening dollar offers a competitive advantage against global competitors.
6. Valuations Still Well Below Recent Levels. The market decline wiped out years of gains that took the sector through the dotcom bubble, the 9-11 attacks, and the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Today, valuations in the industry are at levels typically seen after a major decline in the defense budget with P/E, P/S, PEG, etc all bottoming earlier this year. Advance comments from several companies indicate that 2Q09 reports should continue to show healthy balance sheets.
7. Strength in the Satellite and Space Business. Like the defense sector, spending on satellite services did not see major declines over the past year and many firms are reporting steady revenue gains. Going forward, U.S. satellite manufacturers (such as Orbital Sciences (ORB), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Boeing (BA), General Dynamics (GD)) and other hardware and software providers (Integral Systems (ISYS), Moog (MOG.A), etc.) could benefit if a provision in the 2010 State Department Authorization Act passes turning satellite export review over to the Department of Commerce. Prior to the law change in 1998, the AIA states that 78% of communications satellites were U.S. made, whereas today it is 27%.
8. Rebound in the Economy to Put Less Pressure on Obama. Beginning with the FY-11 budget, the Obama administration will seek to reduce a number of spending programs in order to pay for new programs (such as health care) and pay down the debt generated from the stimulus and overcoming the financial crisis. Defense, as the largest discretionary budget item, is likely to come under pressure. Defense Secretary Gates and a number of members of Congress have already begun efforts to hold back any dramatic cuts. A recent article in the NY Times highlighted that rocket launches by North Korea have started to sway some in Congress toward the need for continued defense spending.
9. Leaks about the 2010 QDR. Lastly, between now and February 2010, there will be a number of leaks as the agency determines its strategic direction and acquisition plans for the rest of Obama’s first term. We can anticipate that not every trial balloon that is flirted with will make it to the final version. It is likely, however, that these comments will lead to temporary moves in the market for the companies that might be impacted.
10. New Initiatives / Diversification. Defense companies have seen the future and have already begun positioning their firms to adapt to changes inside the Pentagon as well as to leverage their skills and technologies to meet the needs of customers outside the core defense sector. In addition, the cancellation of large multi-billion programs is opening up new opportunities to compete for new business against the former incumbent and new initiatives, such as cybersecurity, will see billions spent not only by DoD but other government agencies.
More info and previous interviews:
http://www.homelanddefensestocks.com/Content_Partners/SI/Default.asp
About the SPADE Defense Index
The SPADE Defense Index® (AMEX: DXS) is a modified capitalization-weighted index comprised of publicly traded companies that benchmarks the performance of companies involved with the defense, homeland security, and space marketplace.
The SPADE Defense Index has been developed to be used by investors, financial professionals, trade analysts, and media as a benchmark for publicly traded stocks involved in these business sectors. The Index can be used as the basis for a range of financial instruments including options and other derivatives, exchange traded funds, and conventional mutual funds.
For more information: http://www.spadeindex.com

